Pakistan Earthquake PredictionNews

Pakistan Earthquake Prediction: What does expert say about it?

A Dutch specialist advises against making quick judgments regarding potential earthquake predictions for Pakistan. Speculation about a potential significant earthquake prediction in Pakistan in the near future has been fueled by a social media post from a research institution based in the Netherlands.

A researcher at the Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS) has noted significant atmospheric changes that could serve as potential indicators of a forthcoming strong earthquake in and around Pakistan.

Pakistan Earthquake Prediction

While some people have expressed curiosity and concern about these atmospheric oscillations, Dutch scientist Frank Hoogerbeets has urged caution against jumping to conclusions about potential earthquake predictions for Pakistan. On September 30, we observed atmospheric fluctuations in areas both within and around Pakistan. In a social media post on [specific date], Hoogerbeets, who has previously used planetary alignments to forecast earthquakes in Turkey and Syria, stated, “This may indeed be an indicator of a more powerful earthquake on the horizon, as we’ve seen in the case of Morocco.”

Nevertheless, we cannot accurately predict when such an event might occur. In February, the scientist’s prediction of an earthquake striking Pakistan and India was also dismissed by the United States Geological Survey (USGS), which stated, “No significant earthquake has ever been predicted for Pakistan by the USGS or any other scientific organization.” The methods behind such predictions remain unclear, and it is unlikely that we will gain a clearer understanding in the near future.

Expert Opinion about Pakistan Earthquake

Seismologists worldwide continue to emphasize the formidable challenge of accurately predicting earthquakes. While it is possible to estimate the likelihood of earthquakes in regions with significant seismic activity, pinpointing the exact locations and timings remains an elusive task.

Experts stress the need for caution when considering earthquake predictions, even when they originate from well-intentioned scientists. Pakistan, due to its location at the convergence of the Indian and Eurasian tectonic plates, resides in a seismically active zone, making it inherently vulnerable to earthquakes.

How does Dutch SSGEOS calculate the risk factor?

The Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS), an organization based in the Netherlands known for its seismic predictions, has issued a forecast indicating a significant earthquake event could occur in Pakistan within the next 48 hours.

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SSGEOS primarily focuses on monitoring variations in electric charge in the atmosphere near sea level, suggesting that this data may serve as an indicator for regions with a higher likelihood of experiencing heightened seismic activity. Typically, their forecasts span a period ranging from one to nine days.

What Pakistan’s National Seismic Monitoring Centre Says

Government officials state that despite a previous earthquake along the Chaman fault line in 2013, it remains challenging to accurately predict the timing of the next seismic event. This information has been provided by the NSMC (National Seismic Monitoring Center).

In response to inquiries regarding the Dutch scientist’s forecast, NSMC officials explained that while a fault line can indeed trigger earthquakes, pinpointing the exact timing of such an event is a task fraught with uncertainty and lacks precision.

Pakistan Meteorological Department

While dismissing the claims, the Met Office has emphasized the difficulty in accurately predicting the precise time and location of an earthquake. In the case of Pakistan, the country is situated at the convergence of two massive tectonic plates, extending from Sonmiani to the northern regions, making any area within these boundaries susceptible to seismic activity.

According to the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD), historical records indicate two significant earthquakes along the Chaman fault line. One occurred in 1892, with a magnitude estimated at 9 to 10, and another in 1935 that devastated the Chiltan range, resulting in the loss of thousands of lives. The Met Office suggests that there is a possibility of another earthquake occurring along this fault line approximately every 100 years.

The Met Office further stated, “We have not received any form of warning or instructions regarding an impending earthquake.

Dutch Researcher foresees Major Earthquake in Pakistan

Dutch researcher Frank Hoogerbeets, affiliated with the Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS), has made a bold prediction regarding a significant earthquake in Pakistan’s Balochistan region, suggesting that it could send shockwaves throughout the country. Hoogerbeets, known for his unconventional use of planetary geometry to forecast earthquakes, issued a warning on social media.

In a tweet posted on his X account (formerly on Twitter), he stated, “With four conjunctions occurring over the next ten days, interpreting planetary geometry is challenging.” Hoogerbeets believes that October 1st through 3rd will be particularly crucial. The Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS), headquartered in the Netherlands, has gained recognition for its earthquake prediction efforts. Their groundbreaking software, Solpage, and the Solar System Geometry Index (SSGI) rely on specific planetary alignments as well as the positions of the Moon and the Sun to predict potential earthquakes.

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